- 83 percent of Germans interested in football continue to follow the tournament
- France well ahead of Argentina, Spain, and England with a 35.7 percent chance of winning the title
- Fans also see France in the lead for the first time
Even after the German national team’s elimination, interest in the 2026 FIFA World Cup remains surprisingly high. More than four out of five Germans interested in football continue to follow the tournament. At the same time, France has emerged as the clear favorite to win the title in the eyes of fans. This is shown by a recent representative ONE8Y study commissioned by the Tipico Sports Data Center.
According to the study, 83.3 percent of Germans interested in football are still actively following the World Cup. Although this figure is below the level recorded before the Paraguay match (89 percent), the tournament remains relevant to the vast majority even without German participation.
France Rises to Become Fans’ Clear Favorite
The analyses carried out by the Tipico Sports Data Centre paint a clear picture: with a current probability of winning the title standing at 35.7 percent, France is the favourite to win the World Cup. Behind them – partly influenced by the tournament draw and the upcoming round of 32 – come Argentina (20 percent), Spain (11.1 percent) and England (10 percent).
At the same time, France has also risen significantly in the fans’ favourites’ ranking: currently, 35.4 percent of those surveyed expect ‘Les Bleus’ to win the title – an increase of 20 percentage points compared with the previous survey. Spain follows a long way behind in second place (9.3 percent), followed by Argentina (8.7 percent) and England (5.3 percent).
France has thus very clearly established itself at the top of the title race as the tournament has progressed, both in the analyses by the Tipico Sports Data Centre and in public perception, and goes into the decisive phase of a tournament that remains of great interest to German fans as the clear favourite.
Über die ONE8Y-Befragung
Die Befragung wurde am 30. Juni & 1. Juli 2026 von der Sportbusiness & Research Beratung ONE8Y im Auftrag des Tipico Sportdatencenters durchgeführt. Befragt wurden n=1.102 fußballinteressierte Personen im Alter von 16 bis 69 Jahren, bevölkerungsrepräsentativ gemäß Zensus nach Alter, Geschlecht und Region. Mehr dazu unter www.one8y-db.com.
Das Tipico Sportdatencenter
Das Tipico Sportdatencenter analysiert laufend aktuelle und historische Leistungsdaten. Das umfasst zehntausende Datenpunkte zu Sportwettbewerben, Mannschaften und Spielern. Auf dieser Basis errechnen die Tipico Datenexperten u.a. die Wahrscheinlichkeiten für die wichtigsten Ereignisse der bevorstehenden Partien eines Bundesliga-Spieltages: Endergebnisse, Anzahl und Zeitpunkte der Tore, Torschützen und vieles mehr. Zusätzlich kennt das Tipico Sportdatencenter die Einschätzung der Fans. Aus dieser Kombination entsteht einzigartiges, datengestütztes Wissen über bevorstehende Sportereignisse.
